USE CASE

Tensions Between Peruvian Executive and Legislative Branches Culminate in Presidential Impeachment

After a contentious 10 days, Peruvian President Pedro Castillo was removed from office and arrested after he ordered Congress’ dissolution and creation of a new constitution. Seerist tracked the rising tensions from the beginning with expert analysis of what was likely to occur and alerts along the way notifying users of unrest.

NOVEMBER 30, 2022

Political Instability to Escalate Amid Rising Executive and LegislativeTensions(Analysis)

On November 28, Congressman Edward Málaga announced he would file an impeachment motion request against President Pedro Castillo

The announcement highlights rising tensions between Congress and Castillo’s administration,which is likely to escalate as a result of Castillo’s increasingly confrontational stance

Peru’s political outlook is highly uncertain, as well as volatile

DECEMBER 7, 2022

Political Instability to Remain High Over Next Few Weeks After President’s Removal(Analysis)

Congress votesto remove Castillo from power after his illegal attempt to dissolve it

Dina Boluarte, Castillo’s vice-president, assumes the role of President

Political instability will likely be high in the coming days, and some social unrest is likely

Businesses in rural regions, where Castillo is from, are likely to face some operational challenges

DECEMBER 8, 2022

Unrest Triggers Hotspot in Peru as Pulse Score Dips

A Hotspot is triggered near Lima as supporters and detractors of Castillo clash near where the former president is detained

The Pulse stability score slopes downward, nearing the bottom of the country’s 60-day range

The Pulse Forecast presents a stability score between 33-47 over the coming seven days

As newly sworn-in President Dina Boluarte aims to restore confidence in the Peruvian government and create a political truce, Seerist’s continued analysis, alerts, and stability forecasts will track the country’s progress and keep users alerted to any ongoing unrest and operational challenges.

*Analysis provided by strategic partnership with Control Risks

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