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SITUATION REPORT
Guanajuato Regional Violence
As Guanajuato and surrounding areas saw a string of arson attacks and conflict between organized criminal groups and armed forces, Seerist kept clients informed of emerging events and the likely outlook for the region for the remaining two years of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s term. From early detection of incidents via EventsAI to verification of significant implications, clients used Seerist to follow the unfolding instability over several days.
VERIFIED EVENT + EVENTS AI
Armed group sets fire to vehicles and businesses in Guanajuato municipalities
AUGUST 9, 2022
In the Irapuato municipality, Guanajuato state, organized criminals burned at least 11 grocery stores and several vehicles; shooting with the armed forces were reported.
After multiple vehicles were set on fire and explosions were heard inside pharmacies and Oxxo stores, detainees were apprehended in connection with the events and identified themselves with a criminal group.
The Pulse score plummets seven points
in 24 hours as unrest is rampant in the region
As a result of a confrontation in a neighboring state, the governor of Jalisco, Enrique Alfaro, said that the armed group set fire to vehicles to try to prevent the passage of the security forces.
The Pulse score plummets seven points
in 24 hours as unrest is rampant in the region
EVENTS AI
Alleged arrest of CJNG leader causes blockades and violence
After Ricardo Ruiz, a powerful leader of the Jalisco Nueva Generación Cartel (CJNG), was allegedly arrested, criminal groups began a string of crimes leaving roadblocks, cars, and businesses on fire.
AUGUST 10,2022
Fomento Economico Mexicano (FEMSA) revealed that 25 stores belonging to the OXXO proximity store chain were set on fire in different parts of Guanajuato.
EVENTS AI
Embassy encourages U.S. citizens to restrict travel to Guanajuato State
AUGUST 11, 2022
Following numerous confirmed acts of violence, including arson of buildings and vehicles, U.S. citizens are urged to reconsider travel to Guanajuato state.
U.S. government employees put on restriction from traveling on highway 45 from Irapuato to the cities of Silao and Leon or areas south of the highway.
ANALYSIS
Security risks for businesses to persist amid clashes in Guanajuato
Defense Minister Luis Cresencio Sandoval reported that federal armed forces attempted to capture leaders of the CJNG, provoking criminal retaliation in two states.
AUGUST 12, 2022
The CJNG torched local businesses and vehicles in Jalisco and Guanajuato’s industrial hub to intimidate officials and hinder the armed forces’ response.
Companies in the region will continue to face incidental exposure to violence in the remainder of President Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO)’s tenure as the success of criminal tactics emboldens organized criminal groups (OCG).
This kind of incident will recur across the country as OCGs push back against law enforcement.
Since the federal government will likely keep pursuing OCG leaders – and considering the limited capabilities of the security forces to
counter their intimidation tactics – companies will continue to be incidentally exposed to organized crime-related violence for the remainder of AMLO’s term.
Are you responsible for monitoring the safety of your organization’s personnel or goods? Seerist is here to help you sift through the noise so you can make rapid, reliable decisions when it matters most.
*Analysis provided by strategic partnership with Control Risks
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